(Dan Tri) – Ukraine may face more risks than benefits while the war of attrition between this country and Russia is currently entering a fierce phase.
Experts say that the fighting between Russia and Ukraine has turned into a war of attrition (Photo: Reuters).
According to Newsweek, the government of Russian President Vladimir Putin has not sent any signal that their determination in the upcoming 4-month military campaign in Ukraine will weaken.
Although Russia also faces many difficulties due to sanctions, or its arsenal is reduced because of the intensity of fighting in Eastern Ukraine, they still have a much larger amount of weapons than Kiev, as well as a larger army.
`Ukraine realized it could not win under current conditions. Meanwhile, Russia showed that it was fighting more effectively (compared to the previous period),` said political science professor William Reno of Northwestern University (USA).
According to Mr. Reno, Russia also seems to be facing resource limitations after months of fighting that prevent them from making breakthroughs on the battlefield.
However, Mr. Reno said that this does not mean that Ukraine no longer has hope.
Mr. Reno also pointed out an unfavorable factor for Ukraine: Kiev sometimes has to depend on the decisions of a Western bloc that has `undercurrents` inside.
Expert Dmitri Alperovitch of the Silverado Policy Accelerator organization said that Mr. Putin may prolong the war until winter to make Europe feel the great influence of Russian gas in the region.
According to Newsweek, there are signs that Mr. Putin is ready to prolong hostilities until at least October. According to the Institute for the Study of War (USA), Deputy Director of Main Intelligence of Ukraine Vadym Skibitsky said
Mr. Reno pointed out that one advantage for Ukraine if the war lasts longer is that they will have more time for Kiev soldiers to be trained in Western aid.
The West is also facing their own difficult problem when energy prices and inflation both increase significantly.
Unlike Russia, Ukraine did not have large revenues from exports during wartime.
`If financing is not sustainable or institutionalized to address budget needs, then we will face a fiscal crisis,` warned Tymofiy Mylovanov, adviser to the president of Ukraine.